01Risks and Opportunities
A Calculated Contingency, Not an Assumed One
Rate every risk on a 5x5 matrix of probability and impact and calculate the contingency with a probabilistic PERT analysis to reach a P80 confidence level. Simulate the margin if risks materialise or if you capture the opportunities.
- 5x5 risk matrix with reserve allocation.
- Probabilistic contingency at the P80 confidence level.
- Margin scenarios: risks against opportunities.


